Skip to main content

Table 2 Probability input parameters

From: Risk assessment as a tool for improving external biosecurity at farm level

 

BRSV

BCoV

SD

M. hyo

Contact

%

%

%

%

Animal transport vehiclesa

0-30-80 (Beta Pert)

1-40-95 (Beta Pert)

0-3-40 (Beta Pert)

0-40 (uniform)

Deadstock collectorsa

0-3-80 (Beta Pert)

0-5-95 (Beta Pert)

0-0.1 (uniform)

0-0.1 (uniform)

Visitor (vet, AI technician)a

0-40-80 (Beta Pert)

1-50-95 (Beta Pert)

0-0.1-5 (Beta Pert)

0-0.01-1 (Beta Pert)

Hoof trimmera

0-40-80 (Beta Pert)

1-80-95 (Beta Pert)

NAc

NA

Biosecurity measure

3–4 weeks’ quarantineb

0-50-99 (Beta Pert)

0-20-99 (Beta Pert)

20-50-50.1 (Beta Pert)

70-89-90 (Beta Pert)

Biosecurity lock for loading, ventilation off while truck outside

50-90 (uniform)

50-90 (uniform)

100

80-90-99 (Beta Pert)

Isolated area for carcasses

99-99.5 (uniform)

99-99.5 (uniform)

100

100

Protective clothing provided for visitors

50-80 (uniform)

50-75 (uniform)

90-99-100 (Beta Pert)

95-100 (uniform)

Farm provides hoof trimming crush

50-80 (uniform)

50-80 (uniform)

NA

NA

  1. Introduction of bovine respiratory syncytial virus (BRSV) and bovine coronavirus (BCoV) in cattle herds, swine dysentery (SD) and Mycoplasma hyopneumoniae (M. hyo) in pig herds, via different contacts that come directly from an infected farm). Level of risk reduction by different biosecurity measures. Percentage figures represent minimum-most likely-maximum values or minimum-maximum values. Probability distributions shown in brackets
  2. a assuming contact with diseased animals, thus multiplied by herd prevalence in the models
  3. b 3 weeks in pig herds, 4 weeks in cattle herds
  4. c NA = not applicable