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Table 7 Total predicted land area above a 0.5 suitability threshold for the distributional estimates (5 th percentile, mean and 95 % percentile) for each transmission cycle in the UN sub-regions of Africa

From: Spatial multi-criteria decision analysis to predict suitability for African swine fever endemicity in Africa

 

Region

Sub-region land area (Km2)

Land area predicted above 0.5 threshold (Km2(% of total))

5thpercentile

Mean

95thpercentile

Sylvatic

Western Africa

60 x 105

56 x 102 (0.09)

81 x 103 (1.3)

25 x 104 (4.2)

Central Africa

66 x 105

61 x 104 (9.3)

87 x 104 (13.2)

13 x 105 (20.2)

Southern Africa

27 x 105

22 x 104 (8.3)

31 x 104 (11.5)

40 x 104 (14.9)

Eastern Africa

58 x 105

14 x 105 (23.7)

20 x 105 (34.9)

25 x 105 (44.0)

Northern Africa

82 x 105

12 x 103 (0.14)

39 x 103 (0.48)

96 x 103 (1.2)

Total

29 x 106

22 x 105 (7.6)

33 x 105 (11.3)

46 x 105 (15.7)

Domestic

Western Africa

60 x 105

26 x 104 (4.3)

47 x 104 (7.9)

81 x 104 (13.4)

Central Africa

66 x 105

28 x 104 (4.2)

50 x 104 (7.7)

80 x 104 (12.2)

Southern Africa

27 x 105

88 x 103 (3.3)

18 x 104 (6.8)

37 x 104 (14.0)

Eastern Africa

58 x 105

11 x 104 (1.9)

30 x 104 (5.2)

71 x 104 (12.3)

Northern Africa

82 x 105

64 x 102 (0.08)

42 x 103 (0.51)

20 x 104 (2.4)

Total

29 x 106

74 x 104 (2.5)

15 x 105 (5.1)

30 x 105 (10.0)